Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.411323e-07 1.223975e-06 2.122002e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.689275e-07 7.525187e-07 1.710407e-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000019
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.259192e-07 5.143128e-07 1.480466e-06 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.058776e-08 3.665205e-07 1.311072e-06 0.000004 0.000009 0.000018 0.000035
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.739279e-08 2.587478e-07 1.150178e-06 0.000004 0.000010 0.000021 0.000043
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.165753e-08 1.836233e-07 1.014258e-06 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000052
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.932729e-09 1.215122e-07 8.559378e-07 0.000004 0.000011 0.000027 0.000059
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.296028e-09 8.606108e-08 7.618435e-07 0.000004 0.000012 0.000030 0.000068
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.335001e-10 6.016187e-08 6.766002e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000033 0.000078
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.364018e-11 3.870644e-08 5.764392e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000086
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.780799e-12 2.989755e-08 5.506384e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000040 0.000099
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.563630e-13 2.480805e-08 5.480638e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000114
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.519008e-08 4.846948e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000051 0.000131
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.792690e-09 4.231610e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000057 0.000149
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.474498e-09 3.883709e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000063 0.000170
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.292790e-09 3.559675e-07 0.000004 0.000021 0.000070 0.000192
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.763836e-09 3.174435e-07 0.000004 0.000022 0.000076 0.000213
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.709607e-10 2.816880e-07 0.000004 0.000024 0.000083 0.000236
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.101864e-10 2.342899e-07 0.000004 0.000024 0.000088 0.000254
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.177220e-10 2.073983e-07 0.000004 0.000025 0.000094 0.000278
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 3.518515e-11 1.821358e-07 0.000004 0.000026 0.000101 0.000302
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.858658e-12 1.508672e-07 0.000004 0.000027 0.000105 0.000322
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.171800e-12 1.445288e-07 0.000004 0.000029 0.000115 0.000354